CHAPTER 5: AP STATS: 5.2

Chance is vital in statistical design

random sampling and randomized comparative experiments are extremely important and effective statistical practices

experiment

treatment imposed on individuals in order to observe responses

control

overall effort to minimize variability in the way experimental units are obtained and treated

experimental units

individuals on which the experiment is done: people: subjects

treatment

a specific experimental condition applied to experimental units

factor

explanatory variable (treatment)

placebo

a dummy treatment that can have no physical effect

control group

receive dummy treatment (helps experimenter control effects of lurking and confounding variables;

completely randomized experimental design

all experimental units are allocated randomly among the treatments

statistically significant observation

an observed result too unusual to be an outcome determined by pure chance

3 principles of experimental design

1) control: needed to counter effects of lurking/confounding variable; simplest form is comparison (2 or more treatments); types include control group, placebo, blinding; 2) Replication: do experiment on many experimental units to reduce chance variation

types of experimental design

completely randomized design; block design; matched pair design; refer to diagrams in notes

completely randomized design

3 elements: 1) control: administration of different treatments and comparison of the outcomes; 2) replication; 3) randomization: random allocation of subjects to treatment and control groups

block design

group of subjects known before the experiment to be similar in some way that affects response to treatment (age, gender, race, health); perform completely randomized experiment within each block; blocking is form of control; purpose is to control effects

block design mantra

control what you can; block what you can't control; randomize the rest

matched pair design

special case of randomized block design; used when experiment has TWO treatments and subjects can be matched in pairs that are similar, based on some blocking variable; within each pair, subjects are randomly assigned to different treatments

variation of matched pair design

one subject/both treatments on same subject; randomly choose which treatment to do first; measure the difference between treatments; added level of control because the differed between treatments is measured (improvement)

placebo effect

phenomenon where patients get better because they expect the treatment to work even though they have been given a placebo (fake treatment)

control: blinding

subject doesn't know what group they are in; double blind experiments; neither the subject nor the reacher knows what group they are in (controls placebo effect)

ap exam tips

need to be clear on the distinction between the purposes for "blocking" and randomizing; if you are asked to describe an experiment involving blocking, be sure to randomize treatments within the block